Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?

Live Kalshi odds · 27 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
2
Tariff99%
3
Xi99%
4
Biden99%
5
Fake News99%
6
Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%
7
Radical Left99%
8
Event does not qualify1%
9
Manufacture / Manufacturing1%
10
Nvidia1%
11
Chip / Semiconductor1%
12
Data Center1%
13
Taiwan1%
14
OpenAI / ChatGPT1%
15
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation1%
16
Hottest1%
17
Ceasefire1%
18
Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%
19
Communist / Communism1%
20
Iran (3+ times)1%
21
Israel / Israeli1%
22
Crypto / Bitcoin1%
23
Democrat1%
24
Stock Market1%
25
Inflation1%
26
Nuclear1%
27
Dividend / Stimulus1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 713%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, AI / Artificial Intelligence at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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