What are the current odds for What will Trump say during his announcement??

China / Chinese 99%, Oil / Gas / Gasoline 99%, Nuclear 99%, Biden 99%, Iran (3+ times) 99%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say during his announcement?

Live Kalshi odds · 31 outcomesMultiple can happen

China / Chinese99%

Oil / Gas / Gasoline99%

Billion / Trillion99%

Immigrant / Immigration99%

Elon / Musk99%

Taxpayer99%

Somali / Somalia / Somalian99%

Invest / Invested / Investment1%

Manufacture / Manufacturing1%

Stock Market1%

AI / Artificial Intelligence1%

Afford / Affordable / Affordability1%

Supreme Court1%

Tax Cut1%

Crypto / Bitcoin1%

Event does not qualify1%

Ilhan / Omar1%

Rigged Election1%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1599%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,532). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, China / Chinese at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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