What are the current odds for What will Trump say this week??

Dividend / Stimulus 99%, Blockade 99%, Moon 99%, Canada / Canadian 99%, Diesel 99%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say this week?

Live Kalshi odds · 33 outcomesMultiple can happen

▲66Biggest move: Soleimani up to 99% recently.

Dividend / Stimulus▲699%

Blockade▲1399%

Moon▲4099%

Canada / Canadian▲1399%

Diesel▲3099%

Ceasefire▲3499%

Soleimani▲6699%

Rigged Election / Stolen Election▲1398%

Melania▲1596%

Vivek / Ramaswamy▲1096%

Bibi / Netanyahu▲283%

Nobel▲1177%

Refinery▲973%

Ranked Choice / Ranked-Choice▲469%

Mortgage▲368%

Cuba / Cuban▼1060%

Ethanol▼659%

Autopen / Auto Pen▲256%

Houthi▲454%

Third Term▲1052%

Zohran / Mamdani▼237%

Cybersecurity / Cyber Security▼1435%

Crypto / Bitcoin28%

Antifa▲227%

Epstein▼1127%

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis▼916%

Make Iran Great Again10%

Peace in the Middle East8%

Prediction Market / Predictive Market6%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1883%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,619). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Dividend / Stimulus at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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