What are the current odds for What will Trump say this week??

Barack Hussein Obama 99%, Fraud 99%, Who are you with / Where are you from 99%, Melania 99%, Sleepy Joe 99%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Politics

What will Trump say this week?

Live Kalshi odds · 34 outcomesMultiple can happen

▼64Biggest move: Golden Dome down to 18% recently.

Barack Hussein Obama▲4599%

Fraud▲2199%

Who are you with / Where are you from▲2999%

Melania▲5599%

Sleepy Joe99%

Stupid Question▲6399%

Socialist / Socialism▲1699%

Golf / Golfer / Golfing▼473%

TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome▼1345%

Kamala▼3738%

Rigged Election / Stolen Election▼1237%

Autopen / Auto Pen▼630%

Cuba / Cuban▼429%

Greenland▼1328%

Zohran / Mamdani▼925%

Bibi / Netanyahu▼1021%

Crypto / Bitcoin▼220%

Golden Dome▼6418%

Moon▼2117%

Third Term▼1215%

Peace in the Middle East▼414%

Antifa▼1513%

Prediction Market / Predictive Market▼510%

Uranium▼98%

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis▼87%

Make Iran Great Again▼43%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1545%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Barack Hussein Obama at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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