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TSA passenger screenings on Oct 11, 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 15 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
At least 1,800,000 passengers99%
2
At least 1,900,000 passengers99%
3
At least 2,000,000 passengers99%
4
At least 2,400,000 passengers99%
5
At least 2,500,000 passengers99%
6
At least 2,600,000 passengers99%
7
At least 2,300,000 passengers98%
8
At least 2,700,000 passengers94%
9
At least 2,800,000 passengers67%
10
At least 2,900,000 passengers6%
11
At least 3,200,000 passengers1%
12
At least 2,100,000 passengers0%
13
At least 2,200,000 passengers0%
14
At least 3,000,000 passengers0%
15
At least 3,100,000 passengers0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 860%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,513). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, At least 1,800,000 passengers at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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