What are the current odds for Roma vs Real Madrid?

Real Madrid 50%, Roma 26%, Tie 25%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Sports

Roma vs Real Madrid

Live Kalshi odds · 3 outcomesOne winner

Real Madrid▼150%

Roma26%

Tie▲125%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 101% (about fair). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

50¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

56¢

AFTER THE 2¢ FEE

+4¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 55.6% of the time, and the crowd is charging 50c. Based on 2,446 settled sports markets in the 50-59c band, priced about a day before their events. After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 4c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 50–59¢ have gone on to settle YES 56% of the time (n=3,529). The price implies 50%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, Real Madrid at 50¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXUCLGAME-26OCT14ROMRMA" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Roma vs Real Madrid - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXUCLGAME-26OCT14ROMRMA">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.