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What will the reporters say during ABC World News Tonight?

Live Kalshi odds · 17 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Russia / Russian99%
2
Trump (5+ times)99%
3
Hurricane / Isaias99%
4
Ukraine / Ukrainian / Zelenskyy99%
5
SpaceX / NASA99%
6
Protester99%
7
Lincoln / Navy99%
8
Maduro99%
9
Iran / Iranian1%
10
Pneumonic / Plague1%
11
Cornell1%
12
Abortion / Mifepristone1%
13
Measles1%
14
AI / Artificial Intelligence1%
15
Nobel1%
16
Prince Andrew1%
17
Solar / Aurora1%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 801%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,501). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Russia / Russian at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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