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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 5, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
▼79Biggest move: Above $91.99 down to 10% recently.
1
Above $83.4999%
2
Above $83.9999%
3
Above $84.4997%
4
Above $84.9997%
5
Above $85.4997%
6
Above $85.9996%
7
Above $86.4995%
8
Above $86.9994%
9
Above $87.4989%
10
Above $87.9984%
11
Above $88.4981%
12
Above $88.9971%
13
Above $89.4958%
14
Above $89.99▼4548%
15
Above $90.4935%
16
Above $90.9925%
17
Above $91.4918%
18
Above $91.99▼7910%
19
Above $92.49▼537%
20
Above $92.99▼486%
21
Above $93.49▼424%
22
Above $97.494%
23
Above $98.494%
24
Above $101.494%
25
Above $97.993%
26
Above $94.492%
27
Above $94.99▼432%
28
Above $95.49▼172%
29
Above $95.99▼292%
30
Above $96.49▼242%
31
Above $96.99▼192%
32
Above $98.99▼82%
33
Above $93.99▼601%
34
Above $99.491%
35
Above $100.991%
36
Above $101.991%
37
Above $99.990%
38
Above $100.490%
39
Above $102.490%
40
Above $102.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1343%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,785). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $83.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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