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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Nov 6, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $80.4999%
2
Above $80.9999%
3
Above $81.4999%
4
Above $83.4997%
5
Above $83.9997%
6
Above $85.4993%
7
Above $85.9993%
8
Above $86.4992%
9
Above $86.9990%
10
Above $87.4987%
11
Above $84.4984%
12
Above $87.9981%
13
Above $88.4978%
14
Above $88.9972%
15
Above $89.4969%
16
Above $89.9961%
17
Above $90.4955%
18
Above $90.9945%
19
Above $91.4939%
20
Above $91.9933%
21
Above $92.4929%
22
Above $92.9922%
23
Above $93.4915%
24
Above $93.9912%
25
Above $94.4910%
26
Above $94.997%
27
Above $81.990%
28
Above $82.490%
29
Above $82.990%
30
Above $84.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1658%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,789). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $80.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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