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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 2, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $82.9999%
2
Above $83.4999%
3
Above $84.9997%
4
Above $86.9996%
5
Above $85.4994%
6
Above $87.9992%
7
Above $85.9991%
8
Above $88.4990%
9
Above $89.4980%
10
Above $88.9979%
11
Above $89.9973%
12
Above $90.9966%
13
Above $91.4950%
14
Above $90.4948%
15
Above $93.4940%
16
Above $92.9935%
17
Above $93.996%
18
Above $82.490%
19
Above $83.990%
20
Above $84.490%
21
Above $86.490%
22
Above $87.490%
23
Above $91.990%
24
Above $92.490%
25
Above $94.490%
26
Above $94.990%
27
Above $95.490%
28
Above $95.990%
29
Above $96.490%
30
Above $96.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1235%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,424). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $82.99 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXWTI-26OCT0214">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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