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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 9, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $81.4999%
2
Above $81.9999%
3
Above $84.9996%
4
Above $85.9994%
5
Above $86.4993%
6
Above $86.9993%
7
Above $88.4975%
8
Above $90.9967%
9
Above $89.4963%
10
Above $91.4959%
11
Above $88.9957%
12
Above $89.9950%
13
Above $90.4950%
14
Above $91.9913%
15
Above $93.4911%
16
Above $94.494%
17
Above $94.994%
18
Above $82.490%
19
Above $82.990%
20
Above $83.490%
21
Above $83.990%
22
Above $84.490%
23
Above $85.490%
24
Above $87.490%
25
Above $87.990%
26
Above $92.490%
27
Above $92.990%
28
Above $93.990%
29
Above $95.490%
30
Above $95.990%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1027%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,486). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $81.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXWTI-26OCT0914">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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