Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 8, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
28Biggest move: Above $90.99 up to 79% recently.
1
Above $83.4999%
2
Above $84.4999%
3
Above $84.9999%
4
Above $83.99198%
5
Above $85.49298%
6
Above $85.99398%
7
Above $86.49497%
8
Above $86.99396%
9
Above $87.49595%
10
Above $87.99592%
11
Above $88.49790%
12
Above $88.991088%
13
Above $89.992288%
14
Above $89.491083%
15
Above $90.992879%
16
Above $90.491071%
17
Above $91.492269%
18
Above $92.492561%
19
Above $91.991657%
20
Above $92.992050%
21
Above $93.491844%
22
Above $93.992038%
23
Above $94.491533%
24
Above $94.99318%
25
Above $96.99917%
26
Above $95.49215%
27
Above $95.99212%
28
Above $96.492110%
29
Above $97.497%
30
Above $97.996%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1907%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $83.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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