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Odds boards / Economics

Oil Price (WTI) on Sep 25, 2026?

Live Kalshi odds · 30 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
Above $84.4999%
2
Above $85.4999%
3
Above $86.9999%
4
Above $85.9998%
5
Above $87.4998%
6
Above $89.9998%
7
Above $84.9997%
8
Above $88.9997%
9
Above $88.4996%
10
Above $90.4995%
11
Above $87.9994%
12
Above $89.4993%
13
Above $86.4992%
14
Above $90.9991%
15
Above $91.4988%
16
Above $91.9981%
17
Above $92.4976%
18
Above $92.9969%
19
Above $93.9966%
20
Above $93.4960%
21
Above $94.4955%
22
Above $94.9942%
23
Above $95.4930%
24
Above $96.998%
25
Above $98.495%
26
Above $98.995%
27
Above $97.494%
28
Above $97.994%
29
Above $95.990%
30
Above $96.490%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1939%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, Above $84.49 at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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