Kalshi odds / Weather

Weather odds

Weather markets price short-horizon outcomes like the day's high temperature in a city or whether it rains by a deadline. Below are the most active weather markets and the biggest recent moves.

Most active weather markets

Biggest weather moves today

Will the **high temp in NYC** be <79° on Jul 18, 2026?66%▲35 Will the high temp in Chicago be 91-92° on Jul 18, 2026?21%▼34 Will the **high temp in LA** be >79° on Jul 18, 2026?59%▲31 Will the high temp in Chicago be <89° on Jul 18, 2026?41%▲28 Will the **high temp in NYC** be 81-82° on Jul 18, 2026?5%▼23 Will the **high temp in Philadelphia** be >89° on Jul 18, 2026?19%▲15

Learn & trade weather

Weather field guide →

The edges, red flags, and how this market family behaves.

How to read Kalshi odds →

Turn prices into implied probabilities and spot the vig.

Trading this category →

A focused guide to how these markets work.

Odds converter →

Price to implied probability and back, instantly.

Is your edge real? →

Test whether your win rate is skill or variance.

The live Terminal →

The whole board on one screen: movers and settlements.

Common questions

Can you trade the weather on Kalshi?

Yes. Kalshi lists weather contracts such as daily high or low temperatures and precipitation, resolving to official readings. The price is the implied probability of the outcome.

Live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities. Updated regularly. Not financial advice.

Before you trust these prices

How accurate is Kalshi at weather? →

We recorded prices like these before their events settled, and measured what actually happened. That is the difference between a price and a probability, and it is one click away.