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Kalshi odds / World

World odds

World markets price high-stakes global questions as live probabilities. Because prices react instantly to developments, these boards are a real-time read on how markets assess geopolitical risk. Below are the most active world markets and the biggest recent moves.

Most active world markets
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t72%Will there be more than 60 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to27%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t24%Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to85%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t8%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t5%Will there be more than 70 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to16%Will there be more than 40 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to70%Will there be more than 20 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Jul 20, 2026 to95%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t9%Will July 20 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (7/20 - 717%Will July 21 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (7/20 - 715%
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Common questions

How do Kalshi world-event markets work?
Each contract pays $1 if its event resolves yes, and the price before resolution is the market's implied probability. Availability of specific geopolitical markets depends on Kalshi's listings and regulatory status.

Live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities. Updated regularly. Not financial advice.

Before you trust these prices
How accurate is Kalshi at world? →
We recorded prices like these before their events settled, and measured what actually happened. That is the difference between a price and a probability, and it is one click away.