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Kalshi odds / World

World odds

World markets price high-stakes global questions as live probabilities. Because prices react instantly to developments, these boards are a real-time read on how markets assess geopolitical risk. Below are the most active world markets and the biggest recent moves.

Full-field boards
Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
Before Jan 1, 203175%
5 outcomes
Most active world markets
Will there be more than 15 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to91%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t10%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t87%Will there be more than 50 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to2%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t13%Will October 20 be the day with the most transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz (10/1914%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t56%Will there be more than 25 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 19, 2026 to44%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t14%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t15%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t37%Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more t77%
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Common questions

How do Kalshi world-event markets work?
Each contract pays $1 if its event resolves yes, and the price before resolution is the market's implied probability. Availability of specific geopolitical markets depends on Kalshi's listings and regulatory status.

Live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities. Updated regularly. Not financial advice.

Before you trust these prices
How accurate is Kalshi at world? →
We recorded prices like these before their events settled, and measured what actually happened. That is the difference between a price and a probability, and it is one click away.