Kalshi odds / World

World odds

World markets price high-stakes global questions as live probabilities. Because prices react instantly to developments, these boards are a real-time read on how markets assess geopolitical risk. Below are the most active world markets and the biggest recent moves.

Full-field boards

Kevin Warsh out as Fed chair?

Before Jan 1, 203175%

5 outcomes

Will China obtain an EUV machine?

Before Jan 1, 203068%

4 outcomes

Most active world markets

Biggest world moves today

Top Chinese AI Company this month?75%▲10 Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th?92%▲3 Top Chinese AI Company week of September 7th?6%▲3

Learn & trade world

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Turn prices into implied probabilities and spot the vig.

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Common questions

How do Kalshi world-event markets work?

Each contract pays $1 if its event resolves yes, and the price before resolution is the market's implied probability. Availability of specific geopolitical markets depends on Kalshi's listings and regulatory status.

Live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities. Updated regularly. Not financial advice.

Before you trust these prices

How accurate is Kalshi at world? →

We recorded prices like these before their events settled, and measured what actually happened. That is the difference between a price and a probability, and it is one click away.