ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Weather

Will the maximum temperature be >76° on Sep 21, 2026?

77° or above
1%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 1 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 6% of the time (n=1,004). The price implies 1%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Weather markets
Will it rain in Boston on Sep 21, 2026?99%Will it rain in New York City on Sep 21, 2026?99%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXHIGHTSEA-26SEP21-T76" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will the maximum temperature be >76° on Sep 21, 2026? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXHIGHTSEA-26SEP21-T76">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.