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Will Amir Ohana become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative ele

Amir Ohana
1%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 1 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 7% of the time (n=2,103). The price implies 1%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live World markets
Will No one become Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 Israeli legislative electio57%Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before M50%Will Israel agree to or announce a Knesset vote of confidence in a new government before J46%
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