Live odds / Sports

New England wins by more than 2.5 goals?

New England wins by more than 2.5 goals

10%

implied chance of YES

Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.

This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 10 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

8¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

7¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 6.7% of the time against a 8c price, which is close enough to fair that the 1c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 1,691 settled sports markets in the 0-9c band, priced about a day before their events.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 10–19¢ have gone on to settle YES 15% of the time (n=2,727). The price implies 10%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

See the full field for this event →

More live Sports markets

Alex Rybakov wins1%Dallas wins by over 14.5 points?27%VidantaWorld Mexico Open: Neal Shipley wins3%Sri Lanka wins17%New England wins by over 6.5 points?54%

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXMLSSPREAD-26NOV01NEMIA-NE3" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="New England wins by more than 2.5 goals? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXMLSSPREAD-26NOV01NEMIA-NE3">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.