Live odds / Sports

HOU Texans wins by over 1.5 points?

HOU Texans wins by over 1.5 points

73%

implied chance of YES▼ 2 today

Recorded price path

This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 73 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.

Priced about right

KALSHI CHARGES

75¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

77¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 77.1% of the time against a 75c price, which is close enough to fair that the 2c fee eats whatever is left. Based on 1,364 settled sports markets in the 70-79c band, priced about a day before their events.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the sports curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 70–79¢ have gone on to settle YES 76% of the time (n=1,809). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

See the full field for this event →

More live Sports markets

Victor Bini wins6%Tristan McCormick wins95%Francesca Pace wins36%Emma Kamper wins42%Annika Penickova wins64%

Embed this on your site

<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11HOUTEN-HOU2" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="HOU Texans wins by over 1.5 points? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXNFLSPREAD-26OCT11HOUTEN-HOU2">Live odds by ContractTax</a>

Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.