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Will the temp in Coastal Los Angeles be above 58.99° on Nov 2, 2026 at 9am EST?

59° or above
1%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 1 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 7% of the time (n=2,206). The price implies 1%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Weather markets
Will it rain in New Orleans on Nov 2, 2026?30%Will the maximum temperature be 80-81° on Nov 2, 2026?1%Will the maximum temperature be <65° on Nov 2, 2026?20%Will it rain in Indianapolis on Nov 2, 2026?42%Will the maximum temperature be 78-79° on Nov 2, 2026?1%
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