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What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?

Dell
99%
implied chance of YES▲ 42 today
Recorded price path
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Politics markets
Will Trump say "Autopen / Auto Pen" before Sep 14, 2026?27%What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?2%Will Donald Trump apologize for any of his own statements, actions, or conduct before Oct 50%Will the total vote count for all participants in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at 95%What will Donald Trump say during RNC Midterm Convention?99%
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