ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Other

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 25, 2026

Above 57,500 MW
99%
implied chance of YES▲ 7 today
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,603). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Other markets
Will Nicki Minaj be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?3%Clayface Rotten Tomatoes score?1%Will Ilhan Omar's U.S. citizenship be revoked before Jan 1, 2027?9%Will Anna Kelly be the next White House Press Secretary before Jan 20, 2029?24%Will France declare a state of emergency before Nov 1, 2026?4%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXTXERCOTPEAKD-26OCT26-T57500" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 25, 2026  - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXTXERCOTPEAKD-26OCT26-T57500">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.