ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Live odds / Other

Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Char

Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip
11%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 11 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
28¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
18¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
-8¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 18.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 28c. Based on 250 settled other markets in the 20-29c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 2c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the other curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 10–19¢ have gone on to settle YES 15% of the time (n=2,512). The price implies 11%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
See the full field for this event →
More live Other markets
Gold price up in next 15 mins?22%Will average **gas prices** be above $6.3000?31%Will Donald Trump make between 5 and 9 Truth Social posts on Oct 12, 2026?1%Will TRALALA rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Oct 12, 3%Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9300?1%
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/odds/KXYTTOPVIDEOG2D-26OCT12-XAM" width="340" height="160" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="Will Xamdam Sobirov - Peshta / Хамдам Собиров - Пешта / Video Klip rank #2 on YouTube Char - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/odds/KXYTTOPVIDEOG2D-26OCT12-XAM">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.
Vet this trade →More live odds

Odds reflect the live Kalshi market and move continuously. Educational only, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Kalshi.