Settled markets / KXBRASILEIROC1H-26AUG10AFCGUA-TIE

Will Tie be the result of the 1st Half?

SETTLED YESOtherAugust 10, 2026 at 7:56 PM EDT

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 42¢, making NO roughly a 58% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the YES side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 6 observations

Aug 9 · 59¢50¢Aug 9 · 42¢

Keep going: what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.