Settled markets / KXEREDIVISIETOTAL-26NOV08HEEFEY-5

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

SETTLED YESSportsNovember 8, 2026 at 7:58 AM EST

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 28¢, making NO roughly a 72% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the YES side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 2 observations

Nov 7 · 28¢50¢Nov 7 · 28¢

Keep going: how Sports markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.