Settled markets / KXITFMATCH-26NOV08ALVJOZ-ALV

Oriol Alvarez Velis wins

SETTLED NOSportsNovember 8, 2026 at 8:15 AM EST

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 50¢, making YES roughly a 50% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the NO side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 4 observations

Nov 7 · 50¢50¢Nov 8 · 11¢

Keep going: how Sports markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.