Settled markets / KXLVAVIRSPREAD-26NOV08JELOGR-JEL3

Jelgava wins by more than 2.5 goals?

SETTLED YESSportsNovember 8, 2026 at 8:02 AM EST

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 15¢, making NO roughly a 85% favorite. The market was wrong on the day: the YES side cashed.

Recorded price path · YES price, 2 observations

Nov 7 · 15¢50¢Nov 7 · 15¢

Keep going: how Sports markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.