Settled markets / KXTHAIL1TOTAL-26NOV08PAURAY-5

Will over 4.5 goals be scored?

SETTLED NOSportsNovember 8, 2026 at 8:10 AM EST

What the price said

The day before settlement, our recorded price was 18¢, making NO roughly a 82% favorite. The favorite delivered.

Recorded price path · YES price, 2 observations

Nov 7 · 18¢50¢Nov 7 · 18¢

Keep going: how Sports markets really work · what prices at every level have meant · whether moves like this one carry or fade · more settled markets. Data from our own daily harvest and price snapshots; observations, not tradable quotes. Not financial advice.