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BTC price range on Oct 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesOne winner
▲5Biggest move: $82,500 to 82,999.99 up to 10% recently.
1
$82,500 to 82,999.99▲510%
2
$83,000 to 83,499.99▲29%
3
$83,500 to 83,999.999%
4
$82,000 to 82,499.997%
5
$84,000 to 84,499.997%
6
$84,500 to 84,999.99▼17%
7
$80,500 to 80,999.996%
8
$81,000 to 81,499.996%
9
$85,000 to 85,499.99▲16%
10
$79,500 to 79,999.99▼25%
11
$80,000 to 80,499.995%
12
$85,500 to 85,999.995%
13
$78,000 to 78,499.994%
14
$79,000 to 79,499.994%
15
$81,500 to 81,999.994%
16
$86,000 to 86,499.994%
17
$86,500 to 86,999.994%
18
$70,500 to 70,999.993%
19
$78,500 to 78,999.993%
20
$87,000 to 87,499.993%
21
$87,500 to 87,999.993%
22
$76,500 to 76,999.992%
23
$77,000 to 77,499.992%
24
$77,500 to 77,999.992%
25
$88,000 to 88,499.992%
26
$88,500 to 88,999.992%
27
$89,000 to 89,499.991%
28
$70,499.99 or below0%
29
$71,000 to 71,499.990%
30
$71,500 to 71,999.990%
31
$72,000 to 72,499.990%
32
$72,500 to 72,999.990%
33
$73,000 to 73,499.990%
34
$73,500 to 73,999.990%
35
$74,000 to 74,499.990%
36
$74,500 to 74,999.990%
37
$75,000 to 75,499.990%
38
$75,500 to 75,999.990%
39
$76,000 to 76,499.990%
40
$89,500 to 89,999.990%
41
$90,000 to 90,499.990%
42
$90,500 to 90,999.990%
43
$91,000 to 91,499.990%
44
$91,500 to 91,999.990%
45
$92,000 to 92,499.990%
46
$92,500 to 92,999.990%
47
$93,000 to 93,499.990%
48
$93,500 to 93,999.990%
49
$94,000 to 94,499.990%
50
$94,500 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 125%, a 25-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
10¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
15¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
+4¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 14.6% of the time, and the crowd is charging 10c. Based on 2,506 settled markets across all categories in the 10-19c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 4c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 10–19¢ have gone on to settle YES 15% of the time (n=2,506). The price implies 10%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $82,500 to 82,999.99 at 10¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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