What are the current odds for BTC price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT??

$80,000 to 80,499.99 9%, $78,000 to 78,499.99 8%, $79,000 to 79,499.99 8%, $81,500 to 81,999.99 8%, $78,500 to 78,999.99 7%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price range on Oct 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesOne winner

▼3Biggest move: $79,500 to 79,999.99 down to 6% recently.

$80,000 to 80,499.999%

$78,000 to 78,499.99▲28%

$79,000 to 79,499.99▲18%

$81,500 to 81,999.99▲18%

$78,500 to 78,999.99▲17%

$81,000 to 81,499.997%

$82,000 to 82,499.997%

$82,500 to 82,999.99▼17%

$83,000 to 83,499.997%

$79,500 to 79,999.99▼36%

$80,500 to 80,999.99▼36%

$83,500 to 83,999.996%

$77,500 to 77,999.995%

$84,000 to 84,499.994%

$84,500 to 84,999.994%

$86,000 to 86,499.994%

$74,000 to 74,499.993%

$75,000 to 75,499.993%

$85,000 to 85,499.993%

$85,500 to 85,999.993%

$87,500 to 87,999.993%

$89,000 to 89,499.993%

$89,500 to 89,999.993%

$69,499.99 or below0%

$69,500 to 69,999.990%

$70,000 to 70,499.990%

$70,500 to 70,999.990%

$71,000 to 71,499.990%

$71,500 to 71,999.990%

$72,000 to 72,499.990%

$72,500 to 72,999.990%

$73,000 to 73,499.990%

$73,500 to 73,999.990%

$74,500 to 74,999.990%

$75,500 to 75,999.990%

$76,000 to 76,499.990%

$76,500 to 76,999.990%

$77,000 to 77,499.990%

$86,500 to 86,999.990%

$87,000 to 87,499.990%

$88,000 to 88,499.990%

$88,500 to 88,999.990%

$90,000 to 90,499.990%

$90,500 to 90,999.990%

$91,000 to 91,499.990%

$91,500 to 91,999.990%

$92,000 to 92,499.990%

$92,500 to 92,999.990%

$93,000 to 93,499.990%

$93,500 or above0%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 124%, a 24-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

9¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

5¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

-3¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 5.3% of the time, and the crowd is charging 9c. Based on 57 settled crypto markets in the 0-9c band, priced about a day before their events. Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 0–9¢ have gone on to settle YES 6% of the time (n=2,058). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, $80,000 to 80,499.99 at 9¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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