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BTC price on Nov 13, 2026 at 5pm EST?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$65,000 or above97%
2
$67,000 or above97%
3
$68,500 or above95%
4
$70,000 or above93%
5
$70,500 or above91%
6
$71,000 or above88%
7
$72,000 or above85%
8
$72,500 or above82%
9
$73,000 or above80%
10
$73,500 or above75%
11
$71,500 or above72%
12
$74,000 or above70%
13
$74,500 or above65%
14
$75,000 or above61%
15
$75,500 or above57%
16
$76,000 or above51%
17
$76,500 or above45%
18
$77,000 or above40%
19
$77,500 or above35%
20
$78,000 or above29%
21
$78,500 or above26%
22
$79,000 or above20%
23
$79,500 or above18%
24
$86,000 or above16%
25
$80,000 or above13%
26
$80,500 or above12%
27
$81,000 or above10%
28
$81,500 or above8%
29
$82,000 or above6%
30
$82,500 or above6%
31
$83,000 or above6%
32
$83,500 or above4%
33
$86,500 or above4%
34
$87,500 or above4%
35
$87,000 or above2%
36
$63,500 or above0%
37
$64,000 or above0%
38
$64,500 or above0%
39
$65,500 or above0%
40
$66,000 or above0%
41
$66,500 or above0%
42
$67,500 or above0%
43
$68,000 or above0%
44
$69,000 or above0%
45
$69,500 or above0%
46
$84,000 or above0%
47
$84,500 or above0%
48
$85,000 or above0%
49
$85,500 or above0%
50
$88,000 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1563%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
97¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
94¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 93.8% of the time, and the crowd is charging 97c. Based on 1,801 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,801). The price implies 97%, so historically this band has come in about 3 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $65,000 or above at 97¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXBTCD-26NOV1317">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
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