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Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Oct 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 41 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$76,200 or above96%
2
$76,700 or above93%
3
$76,000 or above92%
4
$76,300 or above91%
5
$77,900 or above90%
6
$77,800 or above90%
7
$77,600 or above90%
8
$78,000 or above89%
9
$76,900 or above89%
10
$76,800 or above89%
11
$78,100 or above88%
12
$77,200 or above88%
13
$77,500 or above87%
14
$77,100 or above87%
15
$77,000 or above87%
16
$79,000 or above85%
17
$78,800 or above85%
18
$78,300 or above85%
19
$77,700 or above85%
20
$78,400 or above84%
21
$77,400 or above84%
22
$77,300 or above84%
23
$78,200 or above83%
24
$78,500 or above80%
25
$79,600 or above75%
26
$78,600 or above75%
27
$78,700 or above73%
28
$79,200 or above72%
29
$79,700 or above70%
30
$79,100 or above69%
31
$79,900 or above68%
32
$78,900 or above68%
33
$80,000 or above67%
34
$79,800 or above67%
35
$79,500 or above62%
36
$79,300 or above59%
37
$79,400 or above55%
38
$76,600 or above0%
39
$76,500 or above0%
40
$76,400 or above0%
41
$76,100 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2981%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
96¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
94¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-1¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 93.9% of the time, and the crowd is charging 96c. Based on 1,636 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,636). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $76,200 or above at 96¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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