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BTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$73,500 or above98%
2
$74,250 or above98%
3
$74,500 or above98%
4
$73,750 or above97%
5
$74,000 or above97%
6
$74,750 or above97%
7
$75,000 or above97%
8
$75,250 or above97%
9
$75,500 or above97%
10
$75,750 or above94%
11
$76,000 or above93%
12
$76,500 or above92%
13
$76,750 or above90%
14
$76,250 or above89%
15
$77,000 or above84%
16
$77,250 or above77%
17
$77,500 or above73%
18
$77,750 or above67%
19
$78,000 or above60%
20
$78,250 or above53%
21
$78,500 or above43%
22
$78,750 or above36%
23
$79,000 or above30%
24
$79,250 or above22%
25
$79,500 or above16%
26
$79,750 or above13%
27
$80,000 or above10%
28
$80,250 or above8%
29
$80,500 or above6%
30
$80,750 or above4%
31
$81,000 or above4%
32
$81,250 or above3%
33
$81,500 or above3%
34
$82,000 or above3%
35
$81,750 or above2%
36
$82,250 or above2%
37
$82,500 or above2%
38
$84,250 or above1%
39
$69,500 or above0%
40
$69,750 or above0%
41
$70,000 or above0%
42
$70,250 or above0%
43
$70,500 or above0%
44
$70,750 or above0%
45
$71,000 or above0%
46
$71,250 or above0%
47
$71,500 or above0%
48
$71,750 or above0%
49
$72,000 or above0%
50
$72,250 or above0%
51
$72,500 or above0%
52
$72,750 or above0%
53
$73,000 or above0%
54
$73,250 or above0%
55
$82,750 or above0%
56
$83,000 or above0%
57
$83,250 or above0%
58
$83,500 or above0%
59
$83,750 or above0%
60
$84,000 or above0%
61
$84,500 or above0%
62
$84,750 or above0%
63
$85,000 or above0%
64
$85,250 or above0%
65
$85,500 or above0%
66
$85,750 or above0%
67
$86,000 or above0%
68
$86,250 or above0%
69
$86,500 or above0%
70
$86,750 or above0%
71
$87,000 or above0%
72
$87,250 or above0%
73
$87,500 or above0%
74
$87,750 or above0%
75
$88,000 or above0%
76
$88,250 or above0%
77
$88,500 or above0%
78
$88,750 or above0%
79
$89,000 or above0%
80
$89,250 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1956%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
98¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
92¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-5¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 92.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 98c. Based on 721 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $73,500 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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