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BTC price on Sep 23, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 80 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$82,250 or above97%
2
$82,500 or above97%
3
$82,750 or above97%
4
$83,250 or above97%
5
$83,000 or above96%
6
$83,500 or above95%
7
$84,000 or above95%
8
$83,750 or above94%
9
$84,250 or above91%
10
$84,500 or above88%
11
$84,750 or above86%
12
$85,000 or above82%
13
$85,250 or above74%
14
$85,500 or above74%
15
$85,750 or above67%
16
$86,000 or above60%
17
$86,250 or above53%
18
$86,500 or above48%
19
$86,750 or above34%
20
$87,000 or above28%
21
$87,250 or above22%
22
$87,500 or above17%
23
$87,750 or above13%
24
$88,000 or above13%
25
$88,250 or above11%
26
$88,500 or above9%
27
$88,750 or above6%
28
$89,000 or above5%
29
$89,250 or above4%
30
$89,500 or above4%
31
$89,750 or above3%
32
$90,000 or above3%
33
$90,250 or above3%
34
$90,500 or above2%
35
$91,000 or above2%
36
$91,250 or above2%
37
$90,750 or above1%
38
$92,000 or above1%
39
$92,250 or above1%
40
$92,500 or above1%
41
$76,000 or above0%
42
$76,250 or above0%
43
$76,500 or above0%
44
$76,750 or above0%
45
$77,000 or above0%
46
$77,250 or above0%
47
$77,500 or above0%
48
$77,750 or above0%
49
$78,000 or above0%
50
$78,250 or above0%
51
$78,500 or above0%
52
$78,750 or above0%
53
$79,000 or above0%
54
$79,250 or above0%
55
$79,500 or above0%
56
$79,750 or above0%
57
$80,000 or above0%
58
$80,250 or above0%
59
$80,500 or above0%
60
$80,750 or above0%
61
$81,000 or above0%
62
$81,250 or above0%
63
$81,500 or above0%
64
$81,750 or above0%
65
$82,000 or above0%
66
$91,500 or above0%
67
$91,750 or above0%
68
$92,750 or above0%
69
$93,000 or above0%
70
$93,250 or above0%
71
$93,500 or above0%
72
$93,750 or above0%
73
$94,000 or above0%
74
$94,250 or above0%
75
$94,500 or above0%
76
$94,750 or above0%
77
$95,000 or above0%
78
$95,250 or above0%
79
$95,500 or above0%
80
$95,750 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 1676%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
97¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
92¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-4¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 92.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 97c. Based on 721 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 97%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $82,250 or above at 97¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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