What are the current odds for BTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT??

$65,500 or above 98%, $72,000 or above 98%, $72,500 or above 98%, $71,500 or above 97%, $73,000 or above 97%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

Odds boards / Crypto

BTC price on Sep 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 50 outcomesMultiple can happen

▲8Biggest move: $80,500 or above up to 64% recently.

$65,500 or above98%

$72,000 or above▲198%

$72,500 or above▲198%

$71,500 or above97%

$73,000 or above▼197%

$74,000 or above97%

$74,500 or above97%

$71,000 or above▼296%

$73,500 or above▼396%

$75,000 or above▼295%

$75,500 or above▼195%

$76,000 or above93%

$76,500 or above91%

$77,000 or above▼188%

$77,500 or above▼186%

$78,000 or above▲285%

$78,500 or above▲179%

$79,000 or above▼272%

$79,500 or above▼266%

$80,000 or above▲266%

$80,500 or above▲864%

$81,000 or above▲759%

$81,500 or above▲652%

$82,000 or above▲545%

$82,500 or above▲839%

$83,000 or above▼128%

$84,000 or above▲121%

$83,500 or above▼320%

$85,000 or above▲417%

$84,500 or above▼414%

$85,500 or above▼110%

$86,000 or above▲110%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2203%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be overcharging for this

KALSHI CHARGES

98¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

92¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

-5¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES only 92.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 98c. Based on 721 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 6 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, $65,500 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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