What are the current odds for Bitcoin price at the end of 2026?

80,000 to 84,999.99 13%, 85,000 to 89,999.99 13%, 90,000 to 94,999.99 12%, 75,000 to 79,999.99 11%, 95,000 to 99,999.99 9%. These are live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities.

How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. Only one outcome can occur, so across all outcomes the prices should sum to about 100%; the small excess is the market's spread.

Odds boards / Crypto

Bitcoin price at the end of 2026

Live Kalshi odds · 28 outcomesOne winner

80,000 to 84,999.9913%

85,000 to 89,999.9913%

90,000 to 94,999.99▲112%

75,000 to 79,999.99▲111%

95,000 to 99,999.999%

70,000 to 74,999.997%

65,000 to 69,999.99▲15%

100,000 to 104,999.99▼15%

60,000 to 64,999.994%

105,000 to 109,999.994%

110,000 to 114,999.993%

115,000 to 119,999.993%

55,000 to 59,999.992%

150,000 or above2%

30,000 to 34,999.991%

35,000 to 39,999.991%

40,000 to 44,999.991%

45,000 to 49,999.991%

50,000 to 54,999.991%

120,000 to 124,999.99▼11%

125,000 to 129,999.991%

130,000 to 134,999.991%

135,000 to 139,999.991%

140,000 to 144,999.991%

19,999.99 or below0%

20,000 to 24,999.990%

25,000 to 29,999.990%

145,000 to 149,999.990%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 103%, a 3-point overround (the market's built-in spread). Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

The crowd may be underpricing this

KALSHI CHARGES

13¢

MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT

15¢

AFTER THE 1¢ FEE

+1¢

Contracts like this one have settled YES 14.5% of the time, and the crowd is charging 13c. Based on 2,433 settled markets across all categories in the 10-19c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). After the 1c taker fee, that leaves about 1c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.

This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 10–19¢ have gone on to settle YES 15% of the time (n=2,433). That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, 80,000 to 84,999.99 at 13¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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