Odds boards / Crypto

ETH price range on Oct 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesOne winner
1
$2,450 to 2,489.9930%
2
$2,490 to 2,529.9926%
3
$2,410 to 2,449.9911%
4
$2,610 to 2,649.993%
5
$2,530 to 2,569.992%
6
$1,730 to 1,769.991%
7
$2,290 to 2,329.991%
8
$2,330 to 2,369.991%
9
$2,570 to 2,609.991%
10
$1,689.99 or below0%
11
$1,690 to 1,729.990%
12
$1,770 to 1,809.990%
13
$1,810 to 1,849.990%
14
$1,850 to 1,889.990%
15
$1,890 to 1,929.990%
16
$1,930 to 1,969.990%
17
$1,970 to 2,009.990%
18
$2,010 to 2,049.990%
19
$2,050 to 2,089.990%
20
$2,090 to 2,129.990%
21
$2,130 to 2,169.990%
22
$2,170 to 2,209.990%
23
$2,210 to 2,249.990%
24
$2,250 to 2,289.990%
25
$2,370 to 2,409.990%
26
$2,650 to 2,689.990%
27
$2,690 to 2,729.990%
28
$2,730 to 2,769.990%
29
$2,770 to 2,809.990%
30
$2,810 to 2,849.990%
31
$2,850 to 2,889.990%
32
$2,890 to 2,929.990%
33
$2,930 to 2,969.990%
34
$2,970 to 3,009.990%
35
$3,010 to 3,049.990%
36
$3,050 to 3,089.990%
37
$3,090 to 3,129.990%
38
$3,130 to 3,169.990%
39
$3,170 to 3,209.990%
40
$3,210 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. Only one outcome can happen here, so the field should sum to about 100%. It currently sums to 76%, a 24-point underround. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be underpricing this
KALSHI CHARGES
30¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
34¢
AFTER THE 2¢ FEE
+2¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES 34.4% of the time, and the crowd is charging 30c. Based on 3,186 settled markets across all categories in the 30-39c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). After the 2c taker fee, that leaves about 2c of edge per contract, if this market behaves like the ones we measured.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 30–39¢ have gone on to settle YES 34% of the time (n=3,186). The price implies 30%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points higher than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $2,450 to 2,489.99 at 30¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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