Odds boards / Crypto

ETH price on Sep 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$2,520 or above97%
2
$2,560 or above96%
3
$2,600 or above79%
4
$2,640 or above35%
5
$2,680 or above9%
6
$2,720 or above4%
7
$1,800 or above0%
8
$1,840 or above0%
9
$1,880 or above0%
10
$1,920 or above0%
11
$1,960 or above0%
12
$2,000 or above0%
13
$2,040 or above0%
14
$2,080 or above0%
15
$2,120 or above0%
16
$2,160 or above0%
17
$2,200 or above0%
18
$2,240 or above0%
19
$2,280 or above0%
20
$2,320 or above0%
21
$2,360 or above0%
22
$2,400 or above0%
23
$2,440 or above0%
24
$2,480 or above0%
25
$2,760 or above0%
26
$2,800 or above0%
27
$2,840 or above0%
28
$2,880 or above0%
29
$2,920 or above0%
30
$2,960 or above0%
31
$3,000 or above0%
32
$3,040 or above0%
33
$3,080 or above0%
34
$3,120 or above0%
35
$3,160 or above0%
36
$3,200 or above0%
37
$3,240 or above0%
38
$3,280 or above0%
39
$3,320 or above0%
40
$3,360 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 320%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
97¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
92¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-4¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 92.0% of the time, and the crowd is charging 97c. Based on 721 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 9099¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 97%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $2,520 or above at 97¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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