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ETH price on Sep 30, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 40 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
$2,500 or above98%
2
$2,180 or above97%
3
$2,340 or above97%
4
$2,540 or above97%
5
$2,580 or above96%
6
$2,620 or above87%
7
$2,660 or above68%
8
$2,700 or above36%
9
$2,380 or above35%
10
$2,860 or above35%
11
$2,460 or above34%
12
$2,900 or above33%
13
$2,420 or above31%
14
$2,740 or above16%
15
$2,780 or above6%
16
$2,820 or above3%
17
$2,940 or above2%
18
$2,980 or above2%
19
$1,900 or above0%
20
$1,940 or above0%
21
$1,980 or above0%
22
$2,020 or above0%
23
$2,060 or above0%
24
$2,100 or above0%
25
$2,140 or above0%
26
$2,220 or above0%
27
$2,260 or above0%
28
$2,300 or above0%
29
$3,020 or above0%
30
$3,060 or above0%
31
$3,100 or above0%
32
$3,140 or above0%
33
$3,180 or above0%
34
$3,220 or above0%
35
$3,260 or above0%
36
$3,300 or above0%
37
$3,340 or above0%
38
$3,380 or above0%
39
$3,420 or above0%
40
$3,460 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 873%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
The crowd may be overcharging for this
KALSHI CHARGES
98¢
MARKETS LIKE THIS SETTLED AT
94¢
AFTER THE 1¢ FEE
-3¢
Contracts like this one have settled YES only 93.6% of the time, and the crowd is charging 98c. Based on 1,415 settled markets across all categories in the 90-99c band (we do not yet hold enough crypto history to price this by category, so this is the market-wide curve and is weaker evidence). Buying this systematically has been a slow bleed, and the 1c fee makes it worse.
This is what this kind of contract has been worth, not a forecast for this one: a band average does not know what is happening in the news. See the Fair Value Board for every market scored this way, or the crypto curve it came from.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,415). The price implies 98%, so historically this band has come in about 4 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, $2,500 or above at 98¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
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