ContractTax
DashboardMarketsEdgeCombosTaxes
☆
Odds boards / Other

S&P price on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live Kalshi odds · 60 outcomesMultiple can happen
1
7,555 or above99%
2
7,560 or above99%
3
7,565 or above99%
4
7,570 or above99%
5
7,575 or above99%
6
7,580 or above99%
7
7,585 or above99%
8
7,590 or above99%
9
7,595 or above99%
10
7,600 or above99%
11
7,605 or above99%
12
7,615 or above98%
13
7,620 or above98%
14
7,535 or above97%
15
7,610 or above97%
16
7,625 or above97%
17
7,630 or above94%
18
7,635 or above90%
19
7,640 or above83%
20
7,645 or above82%
21
7,650 or above75%
22
7,655 or above67%
23
7,660 or above59%
24
7,665 or above56%
25
7,670 or above41%
26
7,675 or above29%
27
7,690 or above24%
28
7,680 or above23%
29
7,695 or above19%
30
7,700 or above10%
31
7,685 or above8%
32
7,760 or above8%
33
7,740 or above7%
34
7,745 or above7%
35
7,705 or above6%
36
7,750 or above6%
37
7,755 or above3%
38
7,795 or above2%
39
7,710 or above1%
40
7,715 or above1%
41
7,720 or above1%
42
7,725 or above1%
43
7,730 or above1%
44
7,735 or above1%
45
7,500 or above0%
46
7,505 or above0%
47
7,510 or above0%
48
7,515 or above0%
49
7,520 or above0%
50
7,525 or above0%
51
7,530 or above0%
52
7,540 or above0%
53
7,545 or above0%
54
7,550 or above0%
55
7,765 or above0%
56
7,770 or above0%
57
7,775 or above0%
58
7,780 or above0%
59
7,785 or above0%
60
7,790 or above0%
Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 2381%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 94% of the time (n=1,428). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 5 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
Based on the favourite, 7,555 or above at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.
These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.
Embed this on your site
<iframe src="https://www.contracttax.com/embed/event/KXINXU-26OCT01H1600" width="360" height="240" style="border:0;overflow:hidden" title="S&P price on Oct 1, 2026 at 4pm EDT? - live odds"></iframe>
<a href="https://www.contracttax.com/event/KXINXU-26OCT01H1600">Live odds by ContractTax</a>
Live-updating, free to use. The widget refreshes on its own; the caption link is appreciated and helps others find the source.

Odds update every few minutes. See more live boards on the odds boards hub or single-market live odds.