How do I read these odds?

Each price in cents is the market's implied probability that the outcome happens. More than one outcome can occur in this event, so the prices are independent and do not sum to 100%.

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What will Anthropic co-founder say during Fox News: Special Report?

Live Kalshi odds · 16 outcomesMultiple can happen

AI / Artificial Intelligence99%

Elon / Altman99%

Dario / Amodei99%

Regulation / Regulate / Regulated99%

China / Chinese99%

Event does not qualify1%

Economy / Economic1%

Claude / Mythos1%

Superintelligence1%

Automate / Automated / Automation1%

Quantum1%

Productivity / Productive1%

Open Source1%

GDP / Gross Domestic Product1%

Recession / Bubble1%

Data Center1%

Each price is that outcome’s implied probability. More than one outcome can happen here, so these are independent probabilities and are not meant to sum to 100% (they total 506%). Read each bar on its own. Tap any outcome for its price history and embed.

What history says about this price

Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.

Based on the favourite, AI / Artificial Intelligence at 99¢. Every price band on this board has its own history; the full curve shows them all.

These are live Kalshi event contracts. Each outcome’s price is the market’s implied probability. Whether the market is well-calibrated at each price is measured by our Truth Machine. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading. Not financial advice.

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