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What will Jack Clark say during Fox News: Special Report on September 14, 2026?

Dario / Amodei
99%
implied chance of YES
Price history builds as our scanner records this market. Check back soon for the path.
This is a live Kalshi event contract. The price, 99 cents, is the market’s implied probability of YES. Whether that number is well-calibrated is its own question: our Truth Machine measures how often markets at each price level actually settle YES. Confirm live prices on Kalshi before trading.
What history says about this price
Across our settled record, markets priced near 90–99¢ have gone on to settle YES 92% of the time (n=721). The price implies 99%, so historically this band has come in about 7 points lower than the sticker. That is history, not a forecast for this specific market. See the Truth Machine for the full curve.
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More live Other markets
What will Jack Clark say during Fox News: Special Report on September 14, 2026?99%Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3550?1%What will any host or reporter say during ABC World News Tonight with David Muir?1%Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3200?94%Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3250?98%
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