XRP's Kalshi ladders follow one of the more headline-driven majors, where news can dominate the short-window direction. Below are the live XRP ladders closing soon, followed by what XRP’s own settle history says about how often these windows go up, and how often a move keeps going.
XRP tends to sit quiet then jump, so its settle history can show long same-direction runs punctuated by sharp reversals.
XRP ladders, live
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We’re still building enough clean XRP settle history to publish odds here. The live ladders above update in real time meanwhile.
Common questions
How do Kalshi XRP markets work?
Kalshi lists XRP (XRP) as up/down markets that settle every 15 minutes, plus hourly markets with strikes at set price increments. A 15-minute up market pays out if XRP's reference price is higher at the close than at the start of the window. You buy YES if you think it finishes up and NO if you think it finishes down, at a price between 1 and 99 cents that reflects the market's implied probability.
Are XRP up/down markets predictable?
Over the short windows these markets cover, XRP direction is close to a coin flip, which is why prices sit near 50 cents right before settlement. Our settle history on this page shows the measured up rate and how often a move continued, but past frequencies are not a forecast, and fees plus the spread mean a naive coin-flip strategy loses money over time.
What are the hourly XRP strike markets?
The hourly markets ask whether XRP will be above a specific price at the top of the hour, with many strikes listed at set increments. Strikes far from the current price almost always resolve the same way, so we exclude those from the direction statistics and keep only the genuinely contested at-the-money strike, so the odds measure direction rather than strike distance.