Kalshi odds / Economics

Economics odds

Economic markets turn scheduled data releases into live probabilities: what the next CPI print will be, whether the Fed cuts, where unemployment lands. Because prices move as expectations shift, these boards are a real-time read on what the market expects before the number drops. Here are the most active economic markets and the biggest recent moves.

Full-field boards
US real GDP growth in 2028?
2.6% to 3.0%14%
14 outcomes
US real GDP growth in 2030?
2.6% to 3.0%17%
14 outcomes
US real GDP growth in 2029?
2.1% to 2.5%16%
14 outcomes
Most active economics markets
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 87 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?80%45Will the brent crude oil close price be above 88.50 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED61%28Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89.50 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED51%29Will the brent crude oil close price be above 83 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?94%10Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 21, 2026?35%Will the brent crude oil close price be above 88 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?68%Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?58%35Will the brent crude oil close price be above 84 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?86%22Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 75.99 USD/Bbl on Jul 21, 2026?95%Will the natural gas close price be above 2.870 USD/MMBtu on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?72%29Will the NASDAQ-100 be above 28592.66 on Jul 20, 2026 at 4pm EDT?48%Will the natural gas close price be above 2.890 USD/MMBtu on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?70%18
Biggest economics moves today
Will the brent crude oil close price be above 87 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?80%45Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?58%35Will the brent crude oil close price be above 86 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?88%32Will the brent crude oil close price be above 86.50 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED82%32Will the brent crude oil close price be above 87.50 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED68%30Will the brent crude oil close price be above 89.50 USD/Bbl on July 20, 2026 at 5:00 PM ED51%29
Evergreen questions
Will the US enter a recession?What will the next inflation report show?Will the Fed cut interest rates?Where will the unemployment rate land?
Learn & trade economics
Economics field guide
The edges, red flags, and how this market family behaves.
How to read Kalshi odds
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The whole board on one screen: movers and settlements.

Common questions

Can you bet on the Fed's interest rate decision on Kalshi?
Kalshi offers contracts tied to economic outcomes including Fed rate decisions, inflation readings, and jobs data. Each contract's price is the market's implied probability of that outcome.
How do Kalshi inflation markets work?
They resolve to official releases such as the CPI or PCE report. The market price before release is the implied probability of each threshold, so the board shows what traders collectively expect the number to be.

Live Kalshi prices, read as implied probabilities. Updated regularly. Not financial advice.

Before you trust these prices
How accurate is Kalshi at economics? →
We recorded prices like these before their events settled, and measured what actually happened. That is the difference between a price and a probability, and it is one click away.